The Australian sharemarket in 2025 is more dynamic than ever, driven by algorithmic trading, real-time data, and a new wave of retail investors hungry for actionable insights. While technical indicators abound, the Accumulation/Distribution Indicator (A/D) remains one of the most reliable gauges for tracking the real flow of money into and out of stocks. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just dipping your toes into ASX-listed shares, understanding the A/D indicator could give you a crucial edge.
What Is the Accumulation/Distribution Indicator?
The Accumulation/Distribution Indicator (A/D) is a volume-based metric that blends price and volume to identify whether a stock is being accumulated (bought) or distributed (sold) over time. Developed by Marc Chaikin, the A/D indicator helps investors see beyond simple price charts, offering a glimpse into underlying demand and supply dynamics.
- Accumulation: Suggests increased buying pressure, typically a bullish sign.
- Distribution: Signals selling pressure, often preceding price declines.
Unlike some technical tools that lag behind the market, the A/D indicator reacts in real time to both price swings and trading volume, painting a clearer picture of what’s really driving a stock’s movement.
How the A/D Indicator Works (With Examples)
At its core, the A/D indicator calculates a cumulative line by adding or subtracting a portion of each period’s volume, depending on where the closing price sits within the day’s trading range. The formula is:
A/D = Previous A/D + [(Close – Low) – (High – Close)] / (High – Low) × Volume
Here’s a practical example for an ASX-listed stock:
- Suppose CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) trades in a range of $290 (low) to $300 (high) and closes at $298 with a daily volume of 1 million shares.
- Plugging those numbers in, the A/D value increases, indicating accumulation—buyers are stepping in at the upper end of the day’s range.
This calculation is repeated daily, producing a line that investors watch for trends and divergences. For instance, if CSL’s share price is flat but the A/D line is rising, it may signal smart money accumulating shares behind the scenes—often a precursor to a breakout.
Why the A/D Indicator Matters in 2025
The landscape for Aussie investors is rapidly evolving. Here’s why the A/D indicator has renewed relevance in 2025:
- Greater Market Volatility: The Reserve Bank of Australia’s ongoing rate tweaks and global macro uncertainty have increased volatility. Volume-based indicators like A/D help cut through the noise.
- Rise of Retail Participation: With more everyday Australians trading via apps, volume surges can mask true buying intent. The A/D indicator helps distinguish between genuine accumulation and speculative spikes.
- Regulatory Changes: ASIC’s 2025 transparency reforms require more granular reporting of trading volumes, giving retail investors better data for A/D calculations.
Smart investors are using the A/D indicator in tandem with other tools, such as RSI or moving averages, to confirm signals and avoid false breakouts.
How to Use the A/D Indicator in Your Trading Strategy
The A/D indicator isn’t just for day traders—it’s equally valuable for long-term investors keen to spot early accumulation in emerging sectors, like renewable energy or AI stocks. Here’s how you can incorporate it:
- Spotting Divergences: If a stock’s price is rising but the A/D line is falling, it could warn of an impending reversal—distribution is happening under the surface.
- Confirming Trends: Use the A/D indicator to confirm bullish or bearish trends before making large trades or portfolio adjustments.
- Screening for Candidates: Many Australian trading platforms now offer A/D overlays, letting you scan for stocks showing persistent accumulation.
Take Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS)—in late 2024, the A/D line started climbing sharply weeks before the share price broke out on news of a major lithium deal. Savvy investors who spotted the early accumulation were well-positioned for the rally.
Limitations and Best Practices
No indicator is foolproof. The A/D indicator can sometimes give false signals in highly volatile or low-volume stocks. It’s most effective when combined with:
- Price action analysis
- Other volume-based tools (e.g., On-Balance Volume)
- Sector and macroeconomic research
Remember: The A/D indicator is a powerful lens for seeing what’s happening beneath the surface, but it should be part of a broader decision-making toolkit.
