Currency swings can wipe out profits in a heartbeat. With global markets facing fresh uncertainty in 2025, outright forward contracts have become essential for Australian businesses trading internationally. But what exactly is an outright forward, and why is it gaining traction in today’s market?
An outright forward is a binding agreement between two parties to exchange a specific amount of currency at a predetermined rate on a set future date. Unlike flexible hedging tools, outright forwards lock in the rate—offering certainty but requiring commitment. They’re particularly popular with importers and exporters who want to budget with confidence, no matter how the Australian dollar (AUD) moves.
For example, an Aussie wine exporter expecting to receive USD payments in six months could lock in today’s rate, ensuring their profits aren’t eroded by a falling USD/AUD exchange.
With the RBA maintaining a cautious stance on rates and global uncertainty persisting into 2025, currency volatility remains a top concern for CFOs and treasurers. Recent policy updates and market trends include:
In this context, outright forwards are seeing renewed interest. According to the Australian Financial Markets Association’s 2025 survey, usage of FX forwards by mid-sized businesses has jumped 18% year-on-year—outpacing options and swaps.
Outright forwards aren’t one-size-fits-all. Here’s how Australian businesses are using them effectively in 2025:
Take the example of a Brisbane construction firm importing steel from Japan. With the AUD/JPY rate especially volatile in early 2025, they booked three outright forwards for staggered deliveries over the next nine months, locking in costs while maintaining operational flexibility.
While outright forwards offer certainty, they require a firm commitment. If your business’s needs change—say, a shipment is cancelled—you might face a ‘closeout’ cost if the market rate has moved against your contract. It’s also worth noting that outright forwards don’t let you benefit if the exchange rate moves in your favour after you’ve locked it in.
Best practice? Integrate currency hedging into your broader risk management strategy, and review positions regularly as market conditions change. Most major Australian banks and FX brokers offer tailored support to help businesses assess their exposure and select the right hedging mix.