Hook Reversal Pattern: How to Spot Market Turning Points in 2025

Markets move in waves, but catching the exact moment a trend turns can feel like searching for a needle in a haystack. Enter the hook reversal—a classic chart pattern that has become a favourite among Australian traders and investors looking to get an edge in volatile times. In 2025, as ASX stocks and global markets grow more dynamic, understanding and applying this pattern could make all the difference in your portfolio’s performance.

What Is a Hook Reversal Pattern?

A hook reversal is a short-term chart pattern that signals a possible change in trend direction—usually at the end of an uptrend or downtrend. It’s a single-day formation that can be found in both daily and intraday charts. Here’s what typically characterises a hook reversal:

• In an uptrend: The day opens at a new high, trades higher, but then reverses sharply to close below the previous day’s close (and often below the open).

• In a downtrend: The day opens at a new low, trades lower, but then reverses upward to close above the previous day’s close (and often above the open).

This pattern suggests that buyers (in an uptrend) or sellers (in a downtrend) have lost control and the market could be ready to swing in the opposite direction. In 2025, with algorithmic trading and high-frequency flows dominating the ASX and global exchanges, these rapid reversals have become more common—and potentially more profitable for those who can spot them early.

Why Hook Reversals Matter in 2025

Australian investors are facing an environment where rate changes, inflation data, and global tech shocks can trigger sharp moves in both directions. The RBA’s continued focus on inflation and employment, coupled with ongoing global uncertainty, has led to frequent intraday swings in ASX heavyweights like BHP, CBA, and CSL.

Hook reversals can help:

• Identify exhaustion: The pattern often marks where a trend is running out of steam.

• Time entries and exits: Catching a hook reversal could mean selling near the top or buying near the bottom of a move.

• Reduce risk: It provides a clear technical signal that can be used to set stop-loss orders just beyond the reversal’s high or low.

Example: In early 2025, after the ASX 200 surged on optimism around AI-driven mining efficiencies, several large-cap stocks showed hook reversals on heavy volume, foreshadowing a multi-day pullback. Traders who recognised the pattern were able to lock in profits before the broader index dipped nearly 4% over the following week.

How to Trade Hook Reversals: A Practical Aussie Guide

Spotting a hook reversal is one thing—trading it effectively is another. Here’s how savvy Australians are putting this pattern to work in the current market climate:

• Look for context: The pattern is most effective after an extended move (up or down). Scan for stocks or ETFs that have run hard in one direction.

• Volume confirmation: A hook reversal that occurs on higher-than-average volume carries more weight, signalling that institutions may be involved.

• Entry strategy: For bullish reversals, consider entering on a move above the hook reversal’s high; for bearish reversals, a move below the pattern’s low.

• Set stops: Place stop-loss orders just beyond the reversal point to manage risk.

With the ASX’s new after-hours trading pilot set to roll out in mid-2025, intraday reversals may become even more pronounced as traders react to global news and earnings reports outside regular hours. This adds another layer of opportunity—and risk—for those willing to adapt.

Tips for Using Hook Reversals in Your 2025 Strategy

• Combine with other indicators: Use hook reversals alongside RSI, MACD, or moving averages for extra confirmation.

• Focus on liquid stocks: Thinly traded shares can produce false signals; stick to ASX 200 or high-volume ETFs.

• Stay alert to news: Corporate earnings, RBA decisions, and global data can all trigger the kind of volatility that breeds hook reversals.

• Backtest your approach: Use historical charts to see how hook reversals played out in previous years, especially around major market events like the 2025 tech sector rally or commodity price shocks.

Conclusion: Add Hook Reversals to Your 2025 Trading Toolkit

Whether you’re a day trader or a longer-term investor, the hook reversal pattern is a powerful signal for identifying potential turning points in volatile markets. With the right context and discipline, it can help you protect gains, cut losses, and capitalise on swift market moves. As the ASX and global markets continue to evolve in 2025, mastering this pattern could give you the edge you need to thrive.